AFL Round 5 Tips

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Round 5 of the 2024 AFL season starts on Thursday night at the MCG, with the second placed Demons taking on the Brisbane Lions.

Keep reading for our expert predictions of who will come out on top this week.

Published: April 10th, 2024 – all odds correct at time of writing.

Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions Tips

Venue: MCG

Game Day: 11/4/2024

Start Time: 7:30pm AEST

The North Melbourne game couldn’t have come at a better time for the Lions after starting the season 0 and 3. However, despite getting a much needed win on the board, Brisbane still have a question mark hanging over their head in 2024 which they’ll be keen to erase on Thursday night.

Melbourne on the other hand have started the season strong, sitting in second position on the ladder and seemingly unaffected by the recent off field noise.

We tip Melbourne will be hard to beat at home and should get the win in a reasonably close encounter.

Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions Prediction: Melbourne to win by 14 Points

Confidence Level: 70%

Game Odds: Melbourne $1.43 | Brisbane $2.85

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Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers Tips

Venue: Marvel Stadium

Game Day: 12/4/2024

Start Time: 7:40pm AEST

Most of the early money has been on the Bulldogs this week on the back of their solid performance against an in form Geelong outfit last week. Essendon on the other hand were atrocious against the Power last week and will be looking to put in a more respectable performance this week at Marvel stadium.

The Bulldogs have had Essendon’s number in recent times, winning their last three games by an average margin of 40.6 points and we predict that trend will continue on Friday night.

Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers Prediction: Bulldogs to win by 18 Points

Confidence Level: 65%

Game Odds: Western Bulldogs: $1.42 | Essendon: $2.90

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GWS Giants vs St Kilda Saints Tips

Venue: Manuka Oval

Game Day: 13/4/2024

Start Time: 1:45pm AEST

This is shaping up to be an entertaining game of footy, with the in form Giants sitting at the top of the ladder with a perfect 4 and 0 start to the season. Although with 2 of those wins coming against North Melbourne and West Coast we’re not getting too excited yet.

Their last two encounters have produced some good spectator footy, with the Giants coming out on top last time they met by 24 points – we predict s similar result this week.

GWS Giants vs St Kilda Saints Prediction: Giants to win by 16 points

Confidence Level: 70%

Game Odds: GWS: $1.33 | St Kilda $3.35

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Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows Tips

Venue: Marvel Stadium

Game Day: 13/4/2024

Start Time: 4:35pm AEST

Carlton are off to a flyer in their 2024 and look to be living up to the hype surrounding the group. Undefeated after 4 rounds and having beat some quality teams, the Blues will be looking to cement themselves as a genuine contender against the so far disappointing Crows outfit.

On paper, the Crows match up reasonably well against the Blues, however we don’t see them being able to get their first win of 2024 this week given their recent showings.

Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows Prediction: Carlton to win by 17 points

Confidence Level: 72%

Game Odds: Carlton $1.26 | Adelaide $3.90

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Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks Tips

Venue: People First Stadium

Game Day: 13/4/2024

Start Time: 7:30pm AEST

The Suns have had a respectable start to the 2024 season, with a 2 and 2 win loss record under new coach Damien Hardwick. However, after being exposed in their last two games against the Giants and Bulldogs, Gold Coast will be looking to make a statement this week against the rebuilding Hawks.

Granted the Hawks have had a tough draw to start their 2024 campaign coming up against Collingwood, Geelong, Melbourne & Essendon, however on paper the Suns look to be a better a 3-4 goal better team.

Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction: Gold Coast to Win by 22 points

Confidence Level: 71%

Game Odds: Gold Coast $1.22 | Hawthorn $4.30

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Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers Tips

Venue: Adelaide Oval

Game Day: 13/4/2024

Start Time: 7:30pm AEST

This is shaping up as one of the games of the round, with both teams sitting on a 3 and 1 start to the 2024 season – however, Fremantle were desperately unlucky to not win their encounter against Carlton last week thanks to an absolute howler by the umpires.

The Power love playing at home and, lead by their young guns in the mid field, we think the Adelaide crowd will get them over the line this week in a close encounter.

Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers Prediction: Port Adelaide to win by 10 points

Confidence Level: 60%

Game Odds: Port Adelaide $1.36 | Fremantle $3.20

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Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Tips

Its hard to see any way North Melbourne can come close to beating an in form Geelong at GMHBA stadium. The Cats are coming off 4 wins on the trot and with superstar Patrick Dangerfield in the mix to return from injury this week, they should put a big score on the struggling Roos.

Geelong are unbackable at $1.03 however, the line is set at -54.5 for the Cats and we think they’ll have that covered.

Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Prediction: Geelong to win by 58 points

Confidence Level: 85%

Game Odds: Geelong: $1.03 | North Melbourne: $12.00

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West Coast Eagles vs Richmond Tigers Tips

Despite sitting 14th on the ladder with a 1 and 4 record, Richmond weren’t far off the mark in their games against St Kilda, Sydney and Carlton. West Coast on the other hand have been comprehensively beaten in all 4 of their games so far in 2024 and sit last on the ladder.

Richmond may be slow out of the blocks after a couple weeks on the road, however we expect them to get the win albeit in a relatively close encounter.

West Coast Eagles vs Richmond Tigers Prediction: Richmond to win by 20 points

Confidence Level: 75%

Game Odds: West Coast: $3.25 | Richmond: $1.34

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All odds accurate at time of writing.
Please note the below predictions are only the opinions of the author only and no guarantees or warranties are made in relation to the outcomes of the games.

If you choose to place a bet on the outcome of an AFL game, please gamble responsibly. If gambling has become a problem for you call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelpline.org.au for free and confidential support. 

 

Learn more about AFL betting or check out our homepage for our recommendations of the best betting sites Australia.

 

Written By:

Ben Leighton

Ben Leighton

Ben has been an avid horse racing, AFL, NRL, NBA and EPL fan for as long as he can remember. Born and bred in Melbourne, Ben loves nothing more than getting along to the footy to cheer on his beloved North Melbourne Kangaroos and getting trackside for as many Flemington and Caulfield horse racing meets at possible. Ben is our head writer at Betting Sites Australia.

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